Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Stony Brook @ Delaware St STBK @ DSU

STONY BROOK

STONY BROOKSTBK

3-2  |  Road

34
FINAL
Thu, Aug 27 • 6:00 PM ET
Alumni Stadium (DE)
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE STATE

DELAWARE STDSU

3-3  |  Home

41
AI Model Win Probability
STONY BROOK
16%
đź“Š
DELAWARE ST
84%
STONY BROOK --
DELAWARE ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
DELAWARE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +18.0 points (Delaware State)
Stony BrookSTBK (-3.5) 0 Delaware StDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stony Brook Cover

9.9%

Delaware St Cover

90.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DSU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DSU)

STBK By 1-6 points

5.3%

STBK By 7-13 points

2.8%

DSU By 1-6 points

10.0%

DSU By 7-13 points

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
14.8
STONY BROOK
32.8
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
14.8
STONY BROOK
32.8
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Delaware St Win
84% Win Prob
A
Sim Delaware St Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Delaware St (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
A
Sim Delaware St (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.6
A
Sim u50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.6
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 27, 2026 STBK @ DSU 34 - 41
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +18.2% more
Stony Brook: 14.4 vs Delaware State: 11.8
Turnovers (L5) +17.3% more
Stony Brook: 1.4 vs Delaware State: 1.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +14.7% more
Stony Brook: 101.1 vs Delaware State: 86.2
Total Yards (L5) +9.2% more
Stony Brook: 274.5 vs Delaware State: 249.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STBK Score 14.8 34
DSU Score 32.8 41
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
STBK
DSU
STBK
ML
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
ATS
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
TTL
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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