AI Model Win Probability
MAINE
27%
TOWSON
73%
MAINE
--
TOWSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.1
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.1 points (Towson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TOW -11.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)
ME By 1-6 points
9.9%
ME By 7-13 points
6.5%
TOW By 1-6 points
14.7%
TOW By 7-13 points
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
17.2
MAINE
Towson
28.3
TOWSON
Simulated Score
Maine
17.2
MAINE
Towson
28.3
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Towson
Loss
73% Win Prob
C
Sim
Towson
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Towson (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.1
C
Sim
Towson (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.1
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u46.5
Win
Proj Total: 45.5
C
Sim
u46.5
Win
Proj Total: 45.5
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
ME @ TOW
21 - 18
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+31.3% more
Maine: 1.6
vs
Towson: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
17.2
21
TOW Score
28.3
18
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
ME
TOW
ME
ML
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
ATS
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
TTL
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0