Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Real Sociedad vs Espanyol Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

REAL SOCIEDADREAL SOCIEDAD

1-0-2  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:00 PM ET
Reale Arena

ESPANYOLESPANYOL

1-0-2  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
REAL SOCIEDAD
35%
DRAW
31%
ESPANYOL
35%
▲ Edge: +25.60% (Espanyol)
54% Book Odds: -115
DRAW --
24% Book Odds: +310
Book Implied: 53.50% / % / 24.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 46%
Under 2.5 54%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
ESPANYOL
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Espanyol)
Real SociedadReal Sociedad (-0.5) 0 EspanyolEspanyol (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

51.2% / 48.8%

Shots (On Goal)

17(10) / 11(3)

Corners

7 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Espanyol 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Espanyol)

Real Sociedad By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Sociedad By 2+ goals

15.9%

Espanyol By 1 goal

21.1%

Espanyol By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Implied: 1.50
1
ESPANYOL
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Implied: 1.50
1
ESPANYOL
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Draw Loss
49% Win Prob
B
Sim Real Sociedad Win
61% Win Prob
B
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Espanyol (+0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Real Sociedad (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.75 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim o2.8 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 Real Sociedad vs Espanyol 2 - 1
Aug 24, 2025 Real Sociedad vs Espanyol 2 - 2
Feb 9, 2025 Real Sociedad vs Espanyol 2 - 1
Aug 24, 2024 Espanyol vs Real Sociedad 0 - 1
Sep 18, 2022 Real Sociedad vs Espanyol 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +200.0% more
Espanyol: 2.0 vs Real Sociedad: 0.0
Goals Scored (L5) +100.0% more
Espanyol: 8.0 vs Real Sociedad: 4.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Espanyol: 2.0 vs Real Sociedad: 4.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +57.1% more
Espanyol: 7.0 vs Real Sociedad: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Espanyol Score 1.0 1
Real Sociedad Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Real Sociedad (Home) vs Espanyol (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Real Sociedad Share: 50.0% Espanyol Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
ATS
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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