RACINGRACING
0-0 | Home
3
ELCHEELCHE
0-1-2 | Away
2
AI Model Win Probability
RACING
35%
DRAW
31%
ELCHE
35%
▲ Edge: +22.20% (Elche)
49%
Book Odds: +105
DRAW
--
28%
Book Odds: +260
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
ELCHE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Elche)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
39.9% / 60.1%
Shots (On Goal)
13(6) / 18(7)
Corners
5 / 10
Cards (Y/R)
2/0 - 1/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Elche 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Elche)
Racing Santander By 1 goal
21.1%
Racing Santander By 2+ goals
15.9%
Elche By 1 goal
21.1%
Elche By 2+ goals
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Racing
1
RACING
Book Implied: 1.50
Elche
1
ELCHE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
Racing
2
RACING
Book Implied: 1.50
Elche
0
ELCHE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Draw
Loss
44% Win Prob
B
Sim
Racing Santander
Loss
80% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Elche (+0.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim
Racing Santander (-0.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u2.75
Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim
u2.8
Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 28, 2026
Racing vs Elche
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5)
+83.3% more
Racing: 11.0
vs
Elche: 6.0
Goals Conceded (L5)
+16.7% more
Racing: 6.0
vs
Elche: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Elche Score
1.0
2
Racing Santander Score
1.0
3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Racing Santander (Home)
vs
Elche (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Racing Santander
Elche
Racing Santander
Elche
ML
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
67%
2-1
0%
0-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1