Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Valencia vs Betis Valencia vs Betis

VALENCIAVALENCIA

1-1-5  |  Home

0
FINAL
Tue, Aug 25 • 3:00 PM ET
Mestalla Stadium

BETISBETIS

5-1-1  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
VALENCIA
35%
DRAW
31%
BETIS
35%
▲ Edge: +12.30% (Real Betis)
36% Book Odds: +175
DRAW --
38% Book Odds: +165
Book Implied: 36.40% / % / 37.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 43%
Under 2.5 57%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
VALENCIA
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Valencia)
ValenciaValencia (+0.5) 0 BetisBetis (-0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

41.6% / 58.4%

Shots (On Goal)

16(3) / 15(3)

Corners

8 / 2

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Valencia 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Valencia)

Valencia By 1 goal

21.1%

Valencia By 2+ goals

15.9%

Real Betis By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Betis By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
VALENCIA
Book Implied: 1
1
BETIS
Book Implied: 1.50
Simulated Score
0
VALENCIA
Book Implied: 1
1
BETIS
Book Implied: 1.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
40% Win Prob
C
Sim Real Betis Loss
54% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Valencia (+0.5) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
B
Sim Real Betis (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim u2.3 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 25, 2026 Valencia vs Betis 0 - 1
Feb 1, 2026 Betis vs Valencia 2 - 1
Nov 9, 2025 Valencia vs Betis 1 - 1
May 23, 2025 Betis vs Valencia 1 - 1
Nov 23, 2024 Valencia vs Betis 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +50.0% more
Betis: 3.0 vs Valencia: 2.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +40.0% more
Betis: 5.0 vs Valencia: 7.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Valencia: 2.0 vs Betis: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5) +12.5% more
Valencia: 9.0 vs Betis: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Real Betis Score 1.0 1
Valencia Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Valencia (Home) vs Real Betis (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Valencia Share: 50.0% Real Betis Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Valencia
Real Betis
Valencia
Real Betis
ML
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
29% 2-5
14% 1-6
ATS
83% 5-1
57% 4-3
50% 3-3
29% 2-5
TTL
29% 2-5
71% 5-2
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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