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COVENTRYCOVENTRY

2-0-6  |  Home

0
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 10:00 AM ET
Coventry Building Society Arena

HULLHULL

2-4-2  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
COVENTRY
35%
DRAW
31%
HULL
35%
▲ Edge: +30% (Hull City)
56% Book Odds: -128
DRAW 26% Book Odds: +285
20% Book Odds: +400
Book Implied: 56.10% / 26% / 20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.8 (Under)
Over 2.75 47%
Under 2.75 53%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
HULL
Book Goal Line
+0.75
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 goals (Hull)
CoventryCoventry (-0.8) 0 HullHull (+0.8)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

68.7% / 31.3%

Shots (On Goal)

11(3) / 6(2)

Corners

6 / 2

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Hull City 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Hull City)

Coventry City By 1 goal

21.1%

Coventry City By 2+ goals

15.9%

Hull City By 1 goal

21.1%

Hull City By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COVENTRY
Book Implied: 1.80
1
HULL
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
COVENTRY
Book Implied: 1.80
1
HULL
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
42% Win Prob
C
Sim Coventry City Loss
61% Win Prob
B
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Hull City (+0.75) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
A
Sim Coventry City (-0.75) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.75 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim o2.8 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 Coventry vs Hull 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Hull: 2.0 vs Coventry: 0.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +100.0% more
Hull: 3.0 vs Coventry: 6.0
Goals Scored (L5) +225.0% more
Coventry: 13.0 vs Hull: 4.0
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Coventry: 4.0 vs Hull: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Hull City Score 1.0 1
Coventry City Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Coventry City (Home) vs Hull City (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Coventry City Share: 50.0% Hull City Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Coventry City
Hull City
Coventry City
Hull City
ML
75% 6-2
62% 5-3
62% 5-3
38% 3-5
ATS
50% 4-4
83% 5-1-2
50% 4-4
38% 2-4-1
TTL
43% 3-4-1
53% 4-3
29% 2-5-1
14% 1-6-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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