ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
70-70 | Road
8
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
82-57 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Riley O'Brien
#61 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brock Stewart
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley O'Brien | None-None | 3.88 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Brock Stewart | None-None | 2.70 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.88
ERA
Ldr 2.70
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
40%
DODGERS
60%
▲ Edge: +7.80% (STL)
CARDINALS
32%
Book Odds: +214
DODGERS
70%
Book Odds: -237
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 8.0
56%
Under 8.0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
STL By 1-2 runs
15.0%
STL By 3-4 runs
9.2%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
3.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.20
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.20
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Cardinals (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.5
B
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
B
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 3, 2026
STL @ LAD
2 - 3
Sep 2, 2026
STL @ LAD
8 - 6
Sep 1, 2026
STL @ LAD
13 - 8
May 3, 2026
LAD @ STL
4 - 1
May 2, 2026
LAD @ STL
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis
STL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.44
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.691
OPS
▲
.762
167
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+22.2% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
St. Louis: 167.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.3% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
St. Louis: 4.4
OPS (Season)
+7.1%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
St. Louis: 69.1%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+4.6%
Los Angeles: 42.4%
vs
St. Louis: 37.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
3.5
8
LAD Score
5.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 9.4
11.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 2.2
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.2 / 9.5
9.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
11.5 / 17.1
20.0 / 18.0
Walks
3.7 / 3.8
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +141 / -171
→
+214 / -237
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 9
→
8
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
STL
LAD
STL
ML
56%
92-73
53%
85-74
48%
79-87
52%
84-77
ATS
59%
98-67
56%
89-70
43%
72-94
53%
85-76
TTL
48%
77-82-6
46%
68-81-10
44%
70-90-6
50%
76-75-10
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