ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
53-86 | Road
5
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
69-70 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Brady Basso
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
MacKenzie Gore
#1 | SP| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Basso | 0-1 | 4.50 | 1.39 | 28.0 | 22 |
| MacKenzie Gore | 7-10 | 4.40 | 1.28 | 149.1 | 165 |
0-1
W-L
7-10
4.50
ERA
Ldr 4.40
1.39
WHIP
Ldr 1.28
28.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 149.1
22
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 165
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
40%
RANGERS
60%
▲ Edge: +5.10% (ATH)
ATHLETICS
35%
Book Odds: +183
RANGERS
69%
Book Odds: -225
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.2 (Over)
Over 7.5
62%
Under 7.5
38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.1
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH +1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.1%
ATH By 3-4 runs
10.3%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TEX By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.8
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 3
Texas
4.9
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Athletics
2
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 3
Texas
5
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rangers
Win
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.1
D
Sim
Rangers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
B
Sim
u7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATH @ TEX
9 - 2
Sep 1, 2026
ATH @ TEX
5 - 8
Aug 31, 2026
ATH @ TEX
1 - 8
Aug 16, 2026
TEX @ ATH
2 - 5
Aug 15, 2026
TEX @ ATH
5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Texas
TEX
143
Games Played
143
4.41
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.248
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.321
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.407
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.398
.728
▲
OPS
.715
174
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+98.0% more
Texas: 1.5
vs
Athletics: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+40.7% more
Texas: 15.0
vs
Athletics: 10.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+15.6% more
Texas: 9.0
vs
Athletics: 7.7
Hits (L5)
+14.8% more
Texas: 8.4
vs
Athletics: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.8
5
TEX Score
4.9
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.4 / 7.3
12.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.5
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 7.7
9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
15.0 / 10.6
17.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.7 / 4.0
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +197 / -244
→
+183 / -225
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
7.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
57-86-0
(39.9%)
Margin: -1.3
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
70-73-0
(48.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.3
ATS +/-:
TEX
(46.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
73-66-4
O: 52.5% / U: 47.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TEX
71-64-8
O: 52.6% / U: 47.4%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
ATH
TEX
ATH
ML
52%
75-68
57%
82-61
58%
82-60
54%
77-65
ATS
57%
81-62
51%
73-70
56%
79-63
50%
71-71
TTL
51%
67-65-11
56%
78-61-4
86%
119-20-3
86%
120-20-2
Contextual Game News
Yankees' Spencer Jones Set for Extended Center Field Chance as G…
Springs Shines in Seven Scoreless Innings as Athletics Down Mari…
Mariners' Bullpen Plans Derailed as Brash's Season Ends; Taylor …
Apple Cup's Future Hangs in Balance as Rivalry Moves to Season O…
Blue Jays Face Pitching Puzzle as Bieber and Yesavage Recovery P…