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OSASUNAOSASUNA

2-2-3  |  Home

0
FINAL
Mon, Aug 24 • 1:30 PM ET
El Sadar

LEVANTELEVANTE

1-2-3  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
OSASUNA
35%
DRAW
31%
LEVANTE
35%
▲ Edge: +27.50% (Levante)
51% Book Odds: -104
DRAW 30% Book Odds: +239
23% Book Odds: +345
Book Implied: 51% / 29.50% / 22.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.25
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.3 (Under)
Over 2.25 47%
Under 2.25 53%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
LEVANTE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Levante)
OsasunaOsasuna (-0.5) 0 LevanteLevante (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

45.7% / 54.3%

Shots (On Goal)

12(7) / 11(1)

Corners

9 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Levante 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Levante)

Osasuna By 1 goal

21.1%

Osasuna By 2+ goals

15.9%

Levante By 1 goal

21.1%

Levante By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 1.40
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 0.90
Simulated Score
1
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 1.40
0
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 0.90
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
44% Win Prob
C
Sim Osasuna Loss
54% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Levante (+0.5) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
B
Sim Osasuna (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u2.25 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim u2.3 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 24, 2026 Osasuna vs Levante 0 - 0
Dec 8, 2025 Osasuna vs Levante 2 - 0
Mar 19, 2022 Osasuna vs Levante 3 - 1
Dec 5, 2021 Levante vs Osasuna 0 - 0
Feb 14, 2021 Levante vs Osasuna 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +300.0% more
Levante: 3.0 vs Osasuna: 0.0
Losses (L5) +150.0% more
Levante: 2.0 vs Osasuna: 5.0
Goals Scored (L5) +125.0% more
Levante: 9.0 vs Osasuna: 4.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +25.0% more
Levante: 8.0 vs Osasuna: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Levante Score 1.0 0
Osasuna Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Osasuna (Home) vs Levante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Osasuna Share: 50.0% Levante Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Osasuna
Levante
Osasuna
Levante
ML
43% 3-4
83% 5-1
43% 3-4
50% 3-3
ATS
43% 3-4
83% 5-1
57% 4-3
33% 2-4
TTL
57% 4-3
50% 3-3
69% 4-2
50% 3-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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