TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
67-70 | Road
7
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
85-52 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kumar Rocker
#80 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Dustin May
#21 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kumar Rocker | 5-10 | 4.41 | 1.40 | 126.2 | 117 |
| Dustin May | 6-8 | 4.56 | 1.29 | 124.1 | 118 |
5-10
W-L
6-8
4.41 Ldr
ERA
4.56
1.40
WHIP
Ldr 1.29
126.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
124.1
117
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 118
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
40%
BREWERS
60%
RANGERS
41%
Book Odds: +147
BREWERS
61%
Book Odds: -158
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
8.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.6 (Over)
Over 8.5
65%
Under 8.5
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.1
TEXAS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX +1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
16.1%
TEX By 3-4 runs
10.3%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.5
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3.50
Milwaukee
5.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 5
Simulated Score
Texas
6
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3.50
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 5
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rangers
Win
70% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.1
D
Sim
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
A
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
TEX @ MIL
7 - 4
Aug 29, 2026
TEX @ MIL
3 - 5
Aug 28, 2026
TEX @ MIL
1 - 6
Sep 10, 2025
MIL @ TEX
3 - 6
Sep 9, 2025
MIL @ TEX
4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.713
OPS
▲
.743
183
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+45.5% more
Milwaukee: 10.4
vs
Texas: 7.2
Runs per Game (Season)
+23.9% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Texas: 4.2
Total Bases (L5)
+18.8% more
Milwaukee: 15.6
vs
Texas: 13.2
OPS (Season)
+3.0%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Texas: 71.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.5
7
MIL Score
5.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.4 / 7.2
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.6
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 7.9
11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
15.6 / 13.2
11.0 / 20.0
Walks
2.0 / 4.0
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +141 / -171
→
+147 / -158
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
8.5
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
TEX
MIL
TEX
ML
62%
101-61
53%
86-76
52%
84-78
57%
91-70
ATS
58%
94-68
57%
92-70
48%
78-84
61%
98-63
TTL
40%
62-92-8
53%
78-70-14
50%
77-77-8
55%
81-66-14
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