CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
72-64 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
65-72 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jordan Hicks
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Zebby Matthews
#52 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks | 2-1 | 3.83 | 1.53 | 40.0 | 49 |
| Zebby Matthews | 8-8 | 4.86 | 1.31 | 103.2 | 88 |
2-1
W-L
8-8
3.83 Ldr
ERA
4.86
1.53
WHIP
Ldr 1.31
40.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 103.2
49
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 88
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
64%
TWINS
36%
▲ Edge: +14.90% (CHW)
WHITE SOX
49%
Book Odds: +105
TWINS
53%
Book Odds: -113
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
9.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 9.0
59%
Under 9.0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
17.5%
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.0%
MIN By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
5.5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 5.20
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 5.20
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
White Sox
Loss
64% Win Prob
B
Sim
Twins
Win
69% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.5
A
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.5
C
Sim
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+69.6% more
Chicago: 6.1
vs
Minnesota: 1.9
Runs per Game (Season)
+24.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
OPS (Season)
+10.6%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Minnesota: 72.0%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+9.8%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Minnesota: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
5.5
1
MIN Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 8.0
9.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.2
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 8.3
3.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
12.8 / 13.8
14.0 / 7.0
Walks
1.9 / 6.1
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +111 / -119
→
+105 / -113
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 9.5
→
9
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHW
MIN
CHW
ML
52%
84-78
49%
81-86
50%
80-81
56%
94-73
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
TTL
51%
78-75-9
58%
96-69-2
53%
80-72-9
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat