Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Tigers LAD @ DET

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

81-55  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

63-72  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Blake Snell
STARTING PITCHER

Blake Snell

#7 | Starting Pitcher
@
Keider Montero
STARTING PITCHER

Keider Montero

#54 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Blake Snell 2-1 2.57 1.05 21.0 26
Keider Montero 9-8 3.30 1.00 133.2 89
2-1 W-L 9-8
2.57 Ldr ERA 3.30
1.05 WHIP Ldr 1.00
21.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 133.2
26 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 89
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
55%
📊
TIGERS
45%
▲ Edge: +7.90% (DET)
DODGERS 64% Book Odds: -181
TIGERS 37% Book Odds: +168
Book Implied: 64.40% / 37.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 (Over)
Over 7.0 70%
Under 7.0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
DodgersLAD (-1.5) 0 TigersDET (+1.5)
Detroit Tigers (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

45.0%

Tigers Cover

55.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET +0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

15.0%

DET By 1-2 runs

17.5%

DET By 3-4 runs

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.20
4.3
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2.80
Simulated Score
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.20
3
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
55% Win Prob
C
Sim Dodgers Loss
70% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.5
C
Sim Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.1
A
Sim o7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 LAD @ DET 6 - 1
Aug 29, 2026 LAD @ DET 1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026 LAD @ DET 2 - 1
Mar 29, 2025 DET @ LAD 3 - 7
Mar 28, 2025 DET @ LAD 5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.762 ▲
OPS
.720
204 ▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +62.6% more
Los Angeles: 5.0 vs Detroit: 1.9
Hits (L5) +35.1% more
Los Angeles: 8.0 vs Detroit: 5.2
Total Bases (L5) +14.9% more
Los Angeles: 10.0 vs Detroit: 8.5
Strikeouts (L5) +14.5% more
Los Angeles: 9.0 vs Detroit: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.8 1
DET Score 4.3 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.0 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 5.2 / 8.0 6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.7 / 9.0 4.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 8.5 / 10.0 9.0 / 8.0
Walks 1.9 / 5.0 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -223 / +181 → -181 / +168 ↑
87%TICKETS13%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
73%TICKETS27%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5 → 7 ↓
58%TICKETS42%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAD
DET
LAD
ML
54% 86-73
56% 92-73
54% 87-73
48% 79-87
ATS
64% 101-58
59% 98-67
57% 91-69
43% 72-94
TTL
46% 69-81-9
48% 77-82-6
46% 69-81-10
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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