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GETAFEGETAFE

2-2-3  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:30 PM ET
Estadio Coliseum

RACINGRACING

0-0  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
GETAFE
35%
DRAW
31%
RACING
35%
▲ Edge: +22.30% (Racing Santander)
43% Book Odds: +133
DRAW 32% Book Odds: +211
28% Book Odds: +261
Book Implied: 42.90% / 32.20% / 27.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.25
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.3 (Under)
Over 2.25 46%
Under 2.25 54%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
RACING
Book Goal Line
+0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 goals (Racing)
GetafeGetafe (-0.2) 0 RacingRacing (+0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

42.7% / 57.3%

Shots (On Goal)

12(1) / 6(3)

Corners

8 / 6

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Racing Santander 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Racing Santander)

Getafe By 1 goal

21.1%

Getafe By 2+ goals

15.9%

Racing Santander By 1 goal

21.1%

Racing Santander By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 1.20
1
RACING
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 1.20
0
RACING
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
39% Win Prob
C
Sim Getafe Win
54% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Racing Santander (+0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Getafe (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u2.25 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim u2.3 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 Getafe vs Racing 1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Losses (L5) +300.0% more
Racing: 0.0 vs Getafe: 3.0
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Racing: 3.0 vs Getafe: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5) +140.0% more
Racing: 12.0 vs Getafe: 5.0
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Racing: 2.0 vs Getafe: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Racing Santander Score 1.0 0
Getafe Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Getafe (Home) vs Racing Santander (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Getafe Share: 50.0% Racing Santander Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Getafe
Racing Santander
Getafe
Racing Santander
ML
57% 4-3
29% 2-5
71% 5-2
71% 5-2
ATS
43% 3-4
29% 2-5
57% 4-3
86% 6-1
TTL
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
57% 4-3
38% 2-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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