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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

66-68  |  Road

4
FINAL
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

70-63  |  Home

10
Probable Pitchers
MacKenzie Gore
STARTING PITCHER

MacKenzie Gore

#1 | Starting Pitcher
@
Sean Burke
STARTING PITCHER

Sean Burke

#59 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
MacKenzie Gore 7-9 4.26 1.23 145.2 161
Sean Burke 7-6 3.27 1.11 146.0 158
7-9 W-L 7-6
4.26 ERA Ldr 3.27
1.23 WHIP Ldr 1.11
145.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 146.0
161 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 158
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
49%
📊
WHITE SOX
51%
▲ Edge: +1.60% (TEX)
RANGERS 48% Book Odds: +110
WHITE SOX 54% Book Odds: -118
Book Implied: 47.60% / 54.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 (Over)
Over 8.0 67%
Under 8.0 33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.1
TEXAS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Texas)
RangersTEX (+1.5) 0 White SoxCHW (-1.5)
Texas Rangers (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

51.0%

White Sox Cover

49.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX +0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

TEX By 1-2 runs

18.3%

TEX By 3-4 runs

13.3%

CHW By 1-2 runs

18.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

13.9%

AI Model Projected Score
4.9
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3.20
5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3.20
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: +0.1
C
Sim Rangers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o8.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.9
B
Sim u8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 TEX @ CHW 4 - 10
Aug 25, 2026 TEX @ CHW 7 - 11
Aug 24, 2026 TEX @ CHW 11 - 2
Jul 22, 2026 CHW @ TEX 4 - 2
Jul 21, 2026 CHW @ TEX 0 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.713
OPS
▲ .826
183 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +44.6% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Texas: 4.2
Walks (L5) +25.8% more
Chicago: 5.0 vs Texas: 4.0
OPS (Season) +11.3%
Chicago: 82.6% vs Texas: 71.3%
On-Base Pct (Season) +9.8%
Chicago: 41.5% vs Texas: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 4.9 4
CHW Score 5.0 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.6 / 9.7 15.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.8 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 9.8 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 14.2 / 18.4 25.0 / 13.0
Walks 5.0 / 4.0 10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -123 / +102 → +110 / -118 ↑
29%TICKETS71%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5 ↑
38%TICKETS62%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5 → 8 ↑
95%TICKETS5%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TEX
CHW
TEX
ML
49% 81-86
53% 86-76
56% 94-73
57% 91-70
ATS
59% 99-68
57% 92-70
56% 93-74
61% 98-63
TTL
58% 96-69-2
53% 78-70-14
51% 84-81-2
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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