CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
68-66 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
52-82 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Joey Cantillo
#54 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grayson Rodriguez
#21 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo | 9-7 | 3.73 | 1.45 | 130.1 | 144 |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 4-5 | 6.41 | 1.53 | 66.0 | 61 |
9-7
W-L
4-5
3.73 Ldr
ERA
6.41
1.45 Ldr
WHIP
1.53
130.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
66.0
144 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
61
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
52%
ANGELS
48%
▲ Edge: +3.80% (LAA)
GUARDIANS
57%
Book Odds: -135
ANGELS
44%
Book Odds: +126
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
8.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 8.5
46%
Under 8.5
54%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
14.1%
LAA By 1-2 runs
18.1%
LAA By 3-4 runs
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
4.1
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 5
Los Angeles
3.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 5
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Loss
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.2
B
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 3
Aug 25, 2026
CLE @ LAA
8 - 6
Aug 24, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 2
May 13, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 4
May 12, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.19
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.316
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.380
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.696
▲
OPS
.679
162
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.9% more
Cleveland: 10.6
vs
Los Angeles: 8.5
Home Runs (Season)
+4.9% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+3.6% more
Cleveland: 4.2
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season)
+1.7%
Cleveland: 69.6%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
4.1
4
LAA Score
3.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.0
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.5 / 10.6
3.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 9.2
4.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
14.9 / 14.7
3.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.8 / 3.1
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -149 / +123
→
-135 / +126
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
8.5
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CLE
LAA
CLE
ML
59%
96-66
54%
87-74
55%
89-73
49%
80-82
ATS
60%
97-65
58%
93-68
51%
82-80
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
83-74-5
55%
88-71-2
52%
82-75-5
43%
69-90-2
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