CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
67-66 | Road
8
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
52-81 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Gavin Williams
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Walbert Urena
#57 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | 12-7 | 3.72 | 1.09 | 154.2 | 201 |
| Walbert Urena | 8-9 | 2.80 | 1.24 | 112.2 | 109 |
12-7
W-L
8-9
3.72
ERA
Ldr 2.80
1.09 Ldr
WHIP
1.24
154.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
112.2
201 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
109
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
36%
ANGELS
64%
▲ Edge: +20.70% (LAA)
GUARDIANS
58%
Book Odds: -140
ANGELS
43%
Book Odds: +131
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.8 (Under)
Over 7.0
45%
Under 7.0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
CLE By 1-2 runs
14.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
8.9%
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAA By 3-4 runs
17.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
2.3
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 4.20
Los Angeles
3.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.80
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 4.20
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Loss
64% Win Prob
B
Sim
Angels
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
A
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.2
C
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 3
Aug 25, 2026
CLE @ LAA
8 - 6
Aug 24, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 2
May 13, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 4
May 12, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.19
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.316
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.380
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.696
▲
OPS
.679
162
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+85.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9
vs
Cleveland: 0.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+34.0% more
Los Angeles: 8.4
vs
Cleveland: 6.3
Walks (L5)
+52.0% more
Cleveland: 3.6
vs
Los Angeles: 1.7
Home Runs (L5)
+34.0% more
Cleveland: 0.7
vs
Los Angeles: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
2.3
8
LAA Score
3.9
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 9.4
9.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.7
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 6.3
13.0 / 15.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 13.6
20.0 / 17.0
Walks
1.7 / 3.6
8.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -136 / +113
→
-140 / +131
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
7
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CLE
LAA
CLE
ML
59%
96-66
54%
87-74
55%
89-73
49%
80-82
ATS
60%
97-65
58%
93-68
51%
82-80
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
83-74-5
55%
88-71-2
52%
82-75-5
43%
69-90-2
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