Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Betis vs Real Sociedad Betis vs Real Sociedad

BETISBETIS

5-1-1  |  Home

1
FINAL
Fri, Aug 21 • 3:00 PM ET
Estadio La Cartuja

REAL SOCIEDADREAL SOCIEDAD

3-1-3  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
BETIS
35%
DRAW
31%
REAL SOCIEDAD
35%
▲ Edge: +20.60% (Real Sociedad)
45% Book Odds: +121
DRAW 29% Book Odds: +251
29% Book Odds: +240
Book Implied: 45.20% / 28.50% / 29.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 49%
Under 2.5 51%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Goal Line
+0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 goals (Real Sociedad)
BetisBetis (-0.2) 0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad (+0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

48.4% / 51.6%

Shots (On Goal)

18(7) / 9(3)

Corners

4 / 5

Cards (Y/R)

3/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Real Sociedad 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Real Sociedad)

Real Betis By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Betis By 2+ goals

15.9%

Real Sociedad By 1 goal

21.1%

Real Sociedad By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
BETIS
Book Implied: 1.40
1
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Implied: 1.10
Simulated Score
2
BETIS
Book Implied: 1.40
1
REAL SOCIEDAD
Book Implied: 1.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
46% Win Prob
C
Sim Real Betis Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Real Sociedad (+0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Real Betis (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 21, 2026 Betis vs Real Sociedad 1 - 0
Sep 19, 2025 Betis vs Real Sociedad 3 - 1
Feb 16, 2025 Betis vs Real Sociedad 3 - 0
Dec 1, 2024 Real Sociedad vs Betis 2 - 0
May 19, 2024 Betis vs Real Sociedad 0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Real Sociedad: 2.0 vs Betis: 1.0
Wins (L5) +200.0% more
Betis: 2.0 vs Real Sociedad: 0.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Betis: 2.0 vs Real Sociedad: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +37.5% more
Betis: 8.0 vs Real Sociedad: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Real Sociedad Score 1.0 0
Real Betis Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Real Betis (Home) vs Real Sociedad (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Real Betis Share: 50.0% Real Sociedad Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Real Betis
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
Real Sociedad
ML
43% 3-4
14% 1-6
14% 1-6
57% 4-3
ATS
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
29% 2-5
71% 5-2
TTL
71% 5-2
29% 2-5
43% 3-4
57% 4-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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