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TIGRESTIGRES

2-4-4  |  Home

2
FINAL
Fri, Aug 21 • 9:00 PM ET
Estadio Universitario

ATLANTEATLANTE

2-5-3  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
TIGRES
61%
DRAW
21%
ATLANTE
18%
▲ Edge: +22.60% (Atlante)
64% Book Odds: -175
DRAW 22% Book Odds: +356
18% Book Odds: +450
Book Implied: 63.60% / 21.90% / 18.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 (Over)
Over 2.75 53%
Under 2.75 47%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+1.0
ATLANTE
Book Goal Line
+1
Book Line
TigresTigres (-1) 0 AtlanteAtlante (+1)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

66.8% / 33.2%

Shots (On Goal)

18(4) / 11(4)

Corners

5 / 1

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 1/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Atlante +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Atlante)

Tigres UANL By 1 goal

26.1%

Tigres UANL By 2+ goals

36.9%

Atlante By 1 goal

11.1%

Atlante By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
TIGRES
Book Implied: 1.90
1
ATLANTE
Book Implied: 0.90
Simulated Score
3
TIGRES
Book Implied: 1.90
1
ATLANTE
Book Implied: 0.90
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Tigres UANL Win
59% Win Prob
B
Sim Tigres UANL Loss
83% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Atlante (-1) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Sim Tigres UANL (-1) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.75 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim o2.8 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 21, 2026 Tigres vs Atlante 2 - 0
Aug 23, 2025 Atlante vs Tigres 2 - 2
Jan 17, 2025 Tigres vs Atlante 2 - 1
Oct 22, 2024 Atlante vs Tigres 2 - 0
Mar 16, 2024 Tigres vs Atlante 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Tigres: 3.0 vs Atlante: 1.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Tigres: 1.0 vs Atlante: 2.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +75.0% more
Tigres: 4.0 vs Atlante: 7.0
Goals Scored (L5) +50.0% more
Tigres: 3.0 vs Atlante: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Atlante Score 1.0 0
Tigres UANL Score 2.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Tigres UANL (Home) vs Atlante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Tigres UANL Share: 66.7% Atlante Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Tigres UANL
Atlante
Tigres UANL
Atlante
ML
40% 4-6
60% 6-4
10% 1-9
10% 1-9
ATS
72% 6-2-1
59% 5-3-1
29% 2-6-1
27% 2-5-2
TTL
30% 3-7
20% 2-8
50% 5-5
70% 7-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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