CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
66-66 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
52-80 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Parker Messick
#77 | SP@
STARTING PITCHER
George Klassen
#58 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Messick | 9-8 | 2.54 | 1.03 | 149.0 | 152 |
| George Klassen | 2-1 | 3.74 | 1.62 | 21.2 | 21 |
9-8
W-L
2-1
2.54 Ldr
ERA
3.74
1.03 Ldr
WHIP
1.62
149.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
21.2
152 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
21
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
44%
ANGELS
56%
▲ Edge: +15.80% (LAA)
GUARDIANS
62%
Book Odds: -161
ANGELS
40%
Book Odds: +150
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.7 (Under)
Over 7.5
45%
Under 7.5
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
CLE By 1-2 runs
17.2%
CLE By 3-4 runs
11.8%
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.3%
LAA By 3-4 runs
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
3.1
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 4.50
Los Angeles
3.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 4.50
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Loss
56% Win Prob
B
Sim
Angels
Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
A
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u7.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 3
Aug 25, 2026
CLE @ LAA
8 - 6
Aug 24, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 2
May 13, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 4
May 12, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.19
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.316
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.380
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.696
▲
OPS
.679
162
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+29.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.3
vs
Cleveland: 0.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+24.3% more
Los Angeles: 8.7
vs
Cleveland: 7.0
Walks (L5)
+46.6% more
Cleveland: 3.9
vs
Los Angeles: 2.1
Home Runs (Season)
+4.9% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
3.1
4
LAA Score
3.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.0
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 10.1
6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 7.0
8.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
14.9 / 14.4
7.0 / 12.0
Walks
2.1 / 3.9
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -156 / +129
→
-161 / +150
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
7.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CLE
LAA
CLE
ML
59%
96-66
54%
87-74
55%
89-73
49%
80-82
ATS
60%
97-65
58%
93-68
51%
82-80
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
83-74-5
55%
88-71-2
52%
82-75-5
43%
69-90-2
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