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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

66-66  |  Road

11
FINAL
Mon, Aug 24 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

68-63  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Kumar Rocker
STARTING PITCHER

Kumar Rocker

#80 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jose Urquidy
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Urquidy

#70 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kumar Rocker 4-10 4.46 1.40 121.0 109
Jose Urquidy 2-1 5.06 1.50 16.0 17
4-10 W-L 2-1
4.46 Ldr ERA 5.06
1.40 Ldr WHIP 1.50
121.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 16.0
109 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 17
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
48%
📊
WHITE SOX
52%
▲ Edge: +2% (TEX)
RANGERS 46% Book Odds: +116
WHITE SOX 55% Book Odds: -124
Book Implied: 46.30% / 55.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 8.0 68%
Under 8.0 32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.2
TEXAS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Texas)
RangersTEX (+1.5) 0 White SoxCHW (-1.5)
Texas Rangers (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

52.0%

White Sox Cover

48.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX +0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

TEX By 1-2 runs

18.1%

TEX By 3-4 runs

13.0%

CHW By 1-2 runs

18.7%

CHW By 3-4 runs

14.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4.9
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3.20
5.1
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
3
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3.20
5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI White Sox Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.2
C
Sim White Sox (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o8.0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Sim o8.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 TEX @ CHW 4 - 10
Aug 25, 2026 TEX @ CHW 7 - 11
Aug 24, 2026 TEX @ CHW 11 - 2
Jul 22, 2026 CHW @ TEX 4 - 2
Jul 21, 2026 CHW @ TEX 0 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.713
OPS
▲ .826
183 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +70.0% more
Chicago: 1.6 vs Texas: 0.9
Walks (L5) +58.7% more
Chicago: 3.6 vs Texas: 2.3
Runs per Game (Season) +44.6% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Texas: 4.2
Errors (L5) +34.0% more
Chicago: 0.4 vs Texas: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 4.9 11
CHW Score 5.1 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.4 / 6.5 5.0 / 14.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.9 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 9.0 6.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 12.1 / 11.2 8.0 / 26.0
Walks 3.6 / 2.3 8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +109 / -131 → +116 / -124 ↓
29%TICKETS71%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
20%TICKETS80%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: 8 → 8
79%TICKETS21%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TEX
CHW
TEX
ML
49% 81-86
53% 86-76
56% 94-73
57% 91-70
ATS
59% 99-68
57% 92-70
56% 93-74
61% 98-63
TTL
58% 96-69-2
53% 78-70-14
51% 84-81-2
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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