LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
52-78 | Road
3
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
64-66 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cody Bradford
#61 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson | 2-7 | 6.41 | 1.54 | 60.1 | 47 |
| Cody Bradford | 0-1 | 2.93 | 1.43 | 15.1 | 10 |
2-7
W-L
0-1
6.41
ERA
Ldr 2.93
1.54
WHIP
Ldr 1.43
60.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
15.1
47 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
10
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
27%
RANGERS
73%
▲ Edge: +11% (TEX)
ANGELS
40%
Book Odds: +153
RANGERS
62%
Book Odds: -164
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.1 (Over)
Over 8.0
61%
Under 8.0
39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
TEXAS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
LAA By 1-2 runs
11.5%
LAA By 3-4 runs
6.1%
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.9%
TEX By 3-4 runs
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.20
Texas
5.9
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
2
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.20
Texas
3
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
73% Win Prob
A
Sim
Rangers
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.7
B
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026
LAA @ TEX
1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026
TEX @ LAA
0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
TEX @ LAA
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.15
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.396
.679
OPS
▲
.713
154
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+26.9% more
Texas: 3.1
vs
Los Angeles: 2.4
Home Runs (Season)
+18.8% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
OPS (Season)
+3.4%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Runs per Game (Season)
+2.7% more
Texas: 4.2
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.2
3
TEX Score
5.9
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 7.7
1.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.5 / 10.0
8.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 11.4
1.0 / 16.0
Walks
3.1 / 2.4
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +130 / -158
→
+153 / -164
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1 / -1
→
+1.5 / -1.5
↑
Total (O/U)
Open: 7
→
8
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAA
TEX
LAA
ML
53%
86-76
59%
96-66
57%
91-70
55%
89-73
ATS
57%
92-70
60%
97-65
61%
98-63
51%
82-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
53%
83-74-5
55%
81-66-14
52%
82-75-5
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