CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
63-66 | Road
9
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
50-78 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Joey Cantillo
#54 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Gordon
#29 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo | 9-7 | 3.80 | 1.44 | 125.2 | 139 |
| Tanner Gordon | 0-3 | 5.55 | 1.44 | 71.1 | 62 |
9-7
W-L
0-3
3.80 Ldr
ERA
5.55
1.44
WHIP
1.44
125.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
71.1
139 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
62
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
57%
ROCKIES
43%
▲ Edge: +1.40% (COL)
GUARDIANS
60%
Book Odds: -150
ROCKIES
42%
Book Odds: +140
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
10.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +2.2 (Under)
Over 10.5
31%
Under 10.5
69%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.7
COLORADO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL +0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.4%
CLE By 3-4 runs
15.5%
COL By 1-2 runs
17.0%
COL By 3-4 runs
11.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
4.5
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 6
Colorado
3.8
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 6
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
57% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rockies
Loss
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +0.7
C
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
u10.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.3
B
Sim
o10.5
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
CLE @ COL
7 - 2
Aug 22, 2026
CLE @ COL
4 - 3
Aug 21, 2026
CLE @ COL
9 - 1
Jul 30, 2025
COL @ CLE
0 - 5
Jul 29, 2025
COL @ CLE
4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.696
OPS
▲
.739
162
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+29.6% more
Cleveland: 4.0
vs
Colorado: 2.8
Errors (L5)
+84.0% more
Colorado: 0.9
vs
Cleveland: 0.1
Home Runs (L5)
+60.0% more
Colorado: 0.9
vs
Cleveland: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+32.6% more
Colorado: 13.9
vs
Cleveland: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
4.5
9
COL Score
3.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.1
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 8.2
6.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.3
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 9.9
6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 10.5
7.0 / 23.0
Walks
2.8 / 4.0
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -162 / +134
→
-150 / +140
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 11
→
10.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CLE
COL
CLE
ML
60%
97-64
54%
87-74
55%
88-73
49%
80-82
ATS
60%
97-64
58%
93-68
52%
83-78
59%
95-67
TTL
60%
93-62-6
55%
88-71-2
50%
77-78-6
43%
69-90-2
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