LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
51-78 | Road
1
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
64-65 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
MacKenzie Gore
#1 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 4-8 | 3.78 | 1.06 | 143.0 | 167 |
| MacKenzie Gore | 7-9 | 4.45 | 1.26 | 139.2 | 154 |
4-8
W-L
7-9
3.78 Ldr
ERA
4.45
1.06 Ldr
WHIP
1.26
143.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
139.2
167 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
154
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
48%
RANGERS
52%
▲ Edge: +3.50% (LAA)
ANGELS
44%
Book Odds: +126
RANGERS
58%
Book Odds: -136
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.2 (Over)
Over 7.5
62%
Under 7.5
38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA +0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.9%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.7%
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.9%
TEX By 3-4 runs
14.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Texas
4.5
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Texas
5
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.3
B
Sim
Rangers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.7
C
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026
LAA @ TEX
1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026
TEX @ LAA
0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
TEX @ LAA
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.15
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.396
.679
OPS
▲
.713
154
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+46.2% more
Texas: 3.1
vs
Los Angeles: 2.1
Home Runs (Season)
+18.8% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
OPS (Season)
+3.4%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Runs per Game (Season)
+2.7% more
Texas: 4.2
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.2
1
TEX Score
4.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.7 / 10.1
11.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 10.0
14.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.7 / 15.0
14.0 / 4.0
Walks
3.1 / 2.1
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +123 / -149
→
+126 / -136
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
7.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAA
TEX
LAA
ML
53%
86-76
59%
96-66
57%
91-70
55%
89-73
ATS
57%
92-70
60%
97-65
61%
98-63
51%
82-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
53%
83-74-5
55%
81-66-14
52%
82-75-5
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