Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Ipswich vs Sunderland Ipswich vs Sunderland

IPSWICHIPSWICH

2-0-3  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Aug 22 • 10:00 AM ET
Portman Road

SUNDERLANDSUNDERLAND

1-1-3  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
IPSWICH
35%
DRAW
31%
SUNDERLAND
35%
▲ Edge: +11.80% (Sunderland)
34% Book Odds: +192
DRAW 30% Book Odds: +229
38% Book Odds: +162
Book Implied: 34.20% / 30.40% / 38.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.25
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.3 (Under)
Over 2.25 47%
Under 2.25 53%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
SUNDERLAND
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
IpswichIpswich (0) 0 SunderlandSunderland (0)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

37.5% / 62.5%

Shots (On Goal)

10(3) / 11(4)

Corners

3 / 5

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Sunderland 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Sunderland)

Ipswich Town By 1 goal

21.1%

Ipswich Town By 2+ goals

15.9%

Sunderland By 1 goal

21.1%

Sunderland By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.10
1
SUNDERLAND
Book Implied: 1.10
Simulated Score
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.10
2
SUNDERLAND
Book Implied: 1.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
39% Win Prob
C
Sim Sunderland Loss
62% Win Prob
B
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Ipswich Town (+0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
A
Sim Sunderland (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u2.25 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim o2.3 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 22, 2026 Ipswich vs Sunderland 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Ipswich: 2.0 vs Sunderland: 0.0
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
Ipswich: 0.0 vs Sunderland: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5) +71.4% more
Ipswich: 12.0 vs Sunderland: 7.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +50.0% more
Ipswich: 4.0 vs Sunderland: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Sunderland Score 1.0 1
Ipswich Town Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Ipswich Town (Home) vs Sunderland (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Ipswich Town Share: 50.0% Sunderland Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Ipswich Town
Sunderland
Ipswich Town
Sunderland
ML
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
ATS
67% 3-1
60% 3-2
33% 1-3
60% 3-2
TTL
0% 0-5
22% 1-3
60% 3-2
78% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
No relevant news articles found for this game.