Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Everton vs C Palace Everton vs C Palace

EVERTONEVERTON

2-3-0  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Aug 22 • 10:00 AM ET
Hill Dickinson Stadium

C PALACEC PALACE

1-1-3  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
EVERTON
61%
DRAW
21%
C PALACE
18%
▲ Edge: +24.90% (Crystal Palace)
42% Book Odds: +137
DRAW 29% Book Odds: +240
31% Book Odds: +221
Book Implied: 42.20% / 29.40% / 31.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 54%
Under 2.5 46%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
EVERTON
Book Goal Line
-0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 goals (Everton)
EvertonEverton (-0.2) 0 C PalaceC Palace (+0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

42.1% / 57.9%

Shots (On Goal)

16(5) / 11(4)

Corners

4 / 0

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Everton -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Everton)

Everton By 1 goal

26.1%

Everton By 2+ goals

36.9%

Crystal Palace By 1 goal

11.1%

Crystal Palace By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
EVERTON
Book Implied: 1.40
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.10
Simulated Score
2
EVERTON
Book Implied: 1.40
0
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Everton Win
44% Win Prob
B
Sim Everton Win
80% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Everton (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Sim Everton (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 22, 2026 Everton vs C Palace 2 - 0
Oct 5, 2025 Everton vs C Palace 2 - 1
Feb 15, 2025 C Palace vs Everton 1 - 2
Sep 28, 2024 Everton vs C Palace 2 - 1
Feb 19, 2024 Everton vs C Palace 1 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Everton: 1.0 vs C Palace: 0.0
Wins (L5) +300.0% more
C Palace: 4.0 vs Everton: 1.0
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
C Palace: 1.0 vs Everton: 3.0
Goals Scored (L5) +83.3% more
C Palace: 11.0 vs Everton: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Crystal Palace Score 1.0 0
Everton Score 2.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Everton (Home) vs Crystal Palace (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Everton Share: 66.7% Crystal Palace Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Everton
Crystal Palace
Everton
Crystal Palace
ML
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
ATS
89% 4-0
80% 4-1
33% 1-3
40% 2-3
TTL
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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