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HULLHULL

2-2-1  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:30 AM ET
The MKM Stadium

MAN UNITEDMAN UNITED

1-2-2  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
HULL
35%
DRAW
31%
MAN UNITED
35%
▲ Edge: +39.10% (Hull City)
11% Book Odds: +815
DRAW 19% Book Odds: +435
73% Book Odds: -270
Book Implied: 10.90% / 18.70% / 73%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
3.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 3.0 46%
Under 3.0 54%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
HULL
Book Goal Line
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 goals (Hull)
HullHull (+1.5) 0 Man UnitedMan United (-1.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

28.5% / 71.5%

Shots (On Goal)

8(4) / 21(5)

Corners

1 / 6

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Hull City 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Hull City)

Hull City By 1 goal

21.1%

Hull City By 2+ goals

15.9%

Manchester United By 1 goal

21.1%

Manchester United By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
HULL
Book Implied: 0.80
1
MAN UNITED
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
0
HULL
Book Implied: 0.80
3
MAN UNITED
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Draw Loss
54% Win Prob
A
Sim Manchester United Loss
94% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Hull City (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
A
Sim Manchester United (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u3.0 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim u3.0 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 22, 2026 Hull vs Man United 2 - 0
Feb 1, 2017 Man United vs Hull 0 - 0
Aug 27, 2016 Hull vs Man United 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +266.7% more
Man United: 11.0 vs Hull: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +250.0% more
Hull: 2.0 vs Man United: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Manchester United Score 1.0 0
Hull City Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Hull City (Home) vs Manchester United (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Hull City Share: 50.0% Manchester United Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Hull City
Manchester United
Hull City
Manchester United
ML
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
ATS
100% 4-0-1
80% 4-1
25% 1-3-1
20% 1-4
TTL
67% 3-1
60% 3-2
25% 1-3-1
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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