LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
76-51 | Road
7
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
50-76 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eric Lauer
#33 | SP@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Feltner
#18 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer | 7-6 | 4.67 | 1.24 | 98.1 | 63 |
| Ryan Feltner | 5-6 | 5.59 | 1.49 | 87.0 | 61 |
7-6
W-L
5-6
4.67 Ldr
ERA
5.59
1.24 Ldr
WHIP
1.49
98.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
87.0
63 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
61
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
62%
ROCKIES
38%
▲ Edge: +2.10% (COL)
DODGERS
66%
Book Odds: -190
ROCKIES
36%
Book Odds: +177
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.4
Projected
Book Total
11.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.1 (Under)
Over 11.5
48%
Under 11.5
52%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
17.2%
COL By 1-2 runs
15.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
6.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 6.50
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 5
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
7
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 6.50
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 5
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
62% Win Prob
B
Sim
Dodgers
Win
70% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.4
D
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u11.5
Loss
Proj Total: 11.4
D
Sim
o11.5
Win
Proj Total: 12.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 19, 2026
LAD @ COL
6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026
LAD @ COL
7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026
LAD @ COL
11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026
COL @ LAD
3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026
COL @ LAD
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762
▲
OPS
.739
204
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+57.9% more
Los Angeles: 1.9
vs
Colorado: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+35.7% more
Los Angeles: 16.7
vs
Colorado: 10.7
Hits (L5)
+22.8% more
Los Angeles: 8.9
vs
Colorado: 6.9
Home Runs (Season)
+11.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Colorado: 180.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
6.4
7
COL Score
5.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 1.0
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.9 / 8.9
10.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 7.0
11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
10.7 / 16.7
17.0 / 19.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.3
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -173 / +142
→
-190 / +177
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 12
→
11.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60%
97-64
56%
92-73
55%
88-73
48%
79-87
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
98-67
52%
83-78
43%
72-94
TTL
60%
93-62-6
48%
77-82-6
50%
77-78-6
44%
70-90-6
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