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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

50-76  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

ASTROSHOU

63-63  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
George Klassen
STARTING PITCHER

George Klassen

#58 | Starting Pitcher
@
Cristian Javier
STARTING PITCHER

Cristian Javier

#53 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
George Klassen 1-1 5.52 2.11 14.2 14
Cristian Javier 1-3 6.68 1.70 32.1 25
1-1 W-L 1-3
5.52 Ldr ERA 6.68
2.11 WHIP Ldr 1.70
14.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 32.1
14 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 25
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
44%
📊
ASTROS
56%
▲ Edge: +4.50% (LAA)
ANGELS 40% Book Odds: +152
ASTROS 62% Book Odds: -163
Book Implied: 39.70% / 62%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
9.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 (Over)
Over 9.0 65%
Under 9.0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (+1.5) 0 AstrosHOU (-1.5)
Los Angeles Angels (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

56.0%

Astros Cover

44.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA +0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

17.2%

LAA By 3-4 runs

11.8%

HOU By 1-2 runs

19.3%

HOU By 3-4 runs

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.80
5.6
HOUSTON
Book Implied: 5.20
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.80
6
HOUSTON
Book Implied: 5.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Astros Loss
56% Win Prob
C
Sim Astros Loss
77% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.6
C
Sim Astros (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.6
A
Sim o9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 LAA @ HOU 18 - 3
Aug 19, 2026 LAA @ HOU 2 - 3
Aug 18, 2026 LAA @ HOU 3 - 1
Jul 29, 2026 HOU @ LAA 7 - 4
Jul 28, 2026 HOU @ LAA 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Houston HOU
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.04 ▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.310 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.369 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.679 ▲
OPS
.582
154 ▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +132.0% more
Houston: 1.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.2
Total Bases (L5) +79.2% more
Houston: 13.6 vs Los Angeles: 7.6
Walks (L5) +29.2% more
Houston: 2.5 vs Los Angeles: 1.9
Hits (L5) +27.2% more
Houston: 7.5 vs Los Angeles: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 5.0 3
HOU Score 5.6 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.5 / 5.9 3.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.2 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.6 / 9.5 8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 13.6 / 7.6 6.0 / 12.0
Walks 2.5 / 1.9 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +144 / -175 → +152 / -163 ↓
16%TICKETS84%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
21%TICKETS79%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: 9 → 9
74%TICKETS26%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
HOU Advantage
81-83-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
HOU Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LAA
HOU
LAA
ML
50% 81-82
59% 96-66
47% 77-87
55% 89-73
ATS
56% 91-72
60% 97-65
55% 90-74
51% 82-80
TTL
45% 70-84-9
53% 83-74-5
45% 69-86-9
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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