LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
75-51 | Road
11
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
50-75 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Blake Snell
#7 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tomoyuki Sugano
#11 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 0-1 | 5.00 | 1.33 | 9.0 | 15 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano | 12-5 | 4.43 | 1.25 | 113.2 | 66 |
0-1
W-L
12-5
5.00
ERA
Ldr 4.43
1.33
WHIP
Ldr 1.25
9.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 113.2
15
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 66
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
51%
ROCKIES
49%
▲ Edge: +17.50% (COL)
DODGERS
72%
Book Odds: -258
ROCKIES
32%
Book Odds: +217
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
11.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +2.1 (Under)
Over 11.0
32%
Under 11.0
68%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.1
COLORADO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL +0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
13.9%
COL By 1-2 runs
18.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 6.20
Colorado
4.4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
7
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 6.20
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
51% Win Prob
C
Sim
Dodgers
Win
77% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +0.1
B
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u11.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.9
B
Sim
o11.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 19, 2026
LAD @ COL
6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026
LAD @ COL
7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026
LAD @ COL
11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026
COL @ LAD
3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026
COL @ LAD
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762
▲
OPS
.739
204
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+40.2% more
Los Angeles: 1.0
vs
Colorado: 0.6
Home Runs (L5)
+11.8% more
Los Angeles: 1.4
vs
Colorado: 1.2
Home Runs (Season)
+11.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Colorado: 180.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+6.1% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
4.5
11
COL Score
4.4
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 1.0
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.3 / 6.3
6.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.4
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 8.5
6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
12.6 / 11.5
7.0 / 27.0
Walks
3.4 / 1.9
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -245 / +198
→
-258 / +217
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 11
→
11
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60%
97-64
56%
92-73
55%
88-73
48%
79-87
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
98-67
52%
83-78
43%
72-94
TTL
60%
93-62-6
48%
77-82-6
50%
77-78-6
44%
70-90-6
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