ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
49-76 | Road
5
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
52-74 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Mason Barnett
#63 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Wacha
#52 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Barnett | 1-3 | 6.16 | 1.45 | 38.0 | 36 |
| Michael Wacha | 5-8 | 3.46 | 1.15 | 150.2 | 117 |
1-3
W-L
5-8
6.16
ERA
Ldr 3.46
1.45
WHIP
Ldr 1.15
38.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 150.2
36
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 117
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
36%
ROYALS
64%
▲ Edge: +0.60% (KC)
ATHLETICS
38%
Book Odds: +165
ROYALS
64%
Book Odds: -177
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
9.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 9.0
46%
Under 9.0
54%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
ATH By 1-2 runs
14.4%
ATH By 3-4 runs
8.6%
KC By 1-2 runs
19.7%
KC By 3-4 runs
17.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.4
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 3.80
Kansas City
5.1
KANSAS CITY
Book Implied: 5.20
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 3.80
Kansas City
6
KANSAS CITY
Book Implied: 5.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Royals
Win
64% Win Prob
B
Sim
Royals
Win
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.7
D
Sim
Royals (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
C
Sim
o9.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
ATH @ KC
2 - 6
Aug 19, 2026
ATH @ KC
7 - 9
Aug 18, 2026
ATH @ KC
3 - 4
Aug 17, 2026
ATH @ KC
5 - 9
Apr 30, 2026
KC @ ATH
3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.402
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.719
▲
OPS
.718
194
▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.2%
Kansas City: 24.7%
vs
Athletics: 24.5%
Errors (L5)
+54.0% more
Athletics: 0.6
vs
Kansas City: 0.0
Total Bases (L5)
+42.4% more
Athletics: 17.7
vs
Kansas City: 10.2
Home Runs (L5)
+39.5% more
Athletics: 1.9
vs
Kansas City: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.4
5
KC Score
5.1
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.2 / 9.7
13.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.9
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 8.9
6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
10.2 / 17.7
19.0 / 18.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.9
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +155 / -189
→
+165 / -177
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 9
→
9
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
KC
Advantage
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
ATH
KC
ATH
ML
55%
89-72
59%
95-67
56%
90-70
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
91-70
52%
84-78
58%
93-67
50%
81-80
TTL
58%
90-64-7
54%
84-73-5
54%
83-70-7
42%
66-90-5
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
Yankees' Season on the Brink: Max Fried Takes Mound for Game 3 D…
Sam McDowell, Flamethrowing All-Star and Inspiration for Cheers'…
Patrick Mahomes Sr. Cleared for Chiefs Home Games with Strict Ur…