CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
65-58 | Road
7
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
60-64 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Drew Anderson
#38 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke | 7-6 | 2.99 | 1.08 | 135.2 | 152 |
| Drew Anderson | 4-4 | 3.91 | 1.30 | 71.1 | 82 |
7-6
W-L
4-4
2.99 Ldr
ERA
3.91
1.08 Ldr
WHIP
1.30
135.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
71.1
152 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
82
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
52%
TIGERS
48%
▲ Edge: +2.50% (CHW)
WHITE SOX
49%
Book Odds: +103
TIGERS
53%
Book Odds: -111
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.3
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.3 (Over)
Over 8.0
71%
Under 8.0
29%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.1
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET +0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
13.9%
DET By 1-2 runs
18.3%
DET By 3-4 runs
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
5.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Detroit
5.1
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.20
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 4.80
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +0.1
B
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.3
A
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Detroit
DET
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+31.4% more
Chicago: 11.3
vs
Detroit: 7.8
Total Bases (L5)
+31.3% more
Chicago: 19.5
vs
Detroit: 13.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+25.7% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Home Runs (L5)
+23.6% more
Chicago: 1.4
vs
Detroit: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
5.2
7
DET Score
5.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 11.3
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.4
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 8.6
9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 19.5
14.0 / 19.0
Walks
2.2 / 2.7
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -110 / -110
→
+103 / -111
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
8
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54%
86-73
48%
81-87
54%
87-73
56%
94-74
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
99-69
57%
91-69
55%
93-75
TTL
46%
69-81-9
58%
97-69-2
46%
69-81-10
51%
85-81-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox