Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Espanyol vs Levante Espanyol vs Levante

ESPANYOLESPANYOL

2-1-4  |  Home

3
FINAL
Sun, Aug 16 • 1:00 PM ET
RCDE Stadium

LEVANTELEVANTE

1-2-3  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
ESPANYOL
58%
DRAW
21%
LEVANTE
20%
▲ Edge: +4.20% (Levante)
47% Book Odds: +111
DRAW 30% Book Odds: +234
26% Book Odds: +292
Book Implied: 47.40% / 29.90% / 25.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.1
Projected
Book Total
2.25
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 (Over)
Over 2.25 81%
Under 2.25 19%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-0.9
ESPANYOL
Book Goal Line
-0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 goals (Espanyol)
EspanyolEspanyol (-0.5) 0 LevanteLevante (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

53.7% / 46.3%

Shots (On Goal)

16(6) / 4(0)

Corners

1 / 1

Cards (Y/R)

3/0 - 0/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

72.6%

Cover

27.4%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Espanyol -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Espanyol)

Espanyol By 1 goal

26.1%

Espanyol By 2+ goals

34.5%

Levante By 1 goal

12.1%

Levante By 2+ goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2
ESPANYOL
Book Implied: 1.40
1.1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 0.90
Simulated Score
1
ESPANYOL
Book Implied: 1.40
0
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 0.90
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Espanyol Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim Espanyol Win
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Espanyol (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
B
Sim Espanyol (-0.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o2.25 Win
Proj Total: 3.1
A
Sim u2.3 Loss
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 Espanyol vs Levante 3 - 0
Jan 11, 2026 Levante vs Espanyol 1 - 1
Mar 12, 2022 Levante vs Espanyol 1 - 1
Dec 11, 2021 Espanyol vs Levante 4 - 3
Jun 20, 2020 Espanyol vs Levante 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Espanyol: 1.0 vs Levante: 0.0
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Levante: 4.0 vs Espanyol: 2.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Levante: 1.0 vs Espanyol: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5) +71.4% more
Levante: 12.0 vs Espanyol: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Levante Score 1.1 0
Espanyol Score 2.0 3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 58.2% Draw: 21.4% Away Win: 20.4%
Espanyol (Home) vs Levante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 59.9% Under 2.5: 40.1%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.10
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Espanyol Share: 64.5% Levante Share: 35.5%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Espanyol
Levante
Espanyol
Levante
ML
57% 4-3
83% 5-1
43% 3-4
50% 3-3
ATS
71% 5-2
83% 5-1
29% 2-5
33% 2-4
TTL
50% 3-3-1
50% 3-3
45% 2-3-1
50% 3-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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