TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
60-62 | Road
0
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
48-74 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob deGrom
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Walbert Urena
#57 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 8-7 | 3.87 | 1.13 | 118.2 | 144 |
| Walbert Urena | 7-8 | 2.83 | 1.29 | 101.2 | 97 |
8-7
W-L
7-8
3.87
ERA
Ldr 2.83
1.13 Ldr
WHIP
1.29
118.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
101.2
144 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
97
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
52%
ANGELS
48%
▲ Edge: +4.40% (LAA)
RANGERS
59%
Book Odds: -141
ANGELS
43%
Book Odds: +131
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.1 (Over)
Over 7.0
56%
Under 7.0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.9%
TEX By 3-4 runs
14.4%
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.9%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.2
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.20
Los Angeles
3.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.80
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.20
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.3
B
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o7.0
Push
Proj Total: 8.1
C
Sim
o7.0
Push
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026
LAA @ TEX
1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026
TEX @ LAA
0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
TEX @ LAA
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713
▲
OPS
.679
183
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+48.4% more
Texas: 4.7
vs
Los Angeles: 2.4
Home Runs (L5)
+44.0% more
Texas: 0.8
vs
Los Angeles: 0.4
Home Runs (Season)
+15.8% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Total Bases (L5)
+12.0% more
Texas: 10.2
vs
Los Angeles: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.2
0
LAA Score
3.9
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.1
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.6 / 6.9
15.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 8.9
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
9.0 / 10.2
16.0 / 5.0
Walks
2.4 / 4.7
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -162 / +134
→
-141 / +131
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
7
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59%
96-66
53%
86-76
55%
89-73
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
97-65
57%
92-70
51%
82-80
61%
98-63
TTL
53%
83-74-5
53%
78-70-14
52%
82-75-5
55%
81-66-14
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