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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

60-61  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Aug 12 • 10:00 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

47-74  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Cal Quantrill
STARTING PITCHER

Cal Quantrill

#44 | Relief Pitcher
@
George Klassen
STARTING PITCHER

George Klassen

#58 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cal Quantrill 4-4 3.56 1.19 65.2 43
George Klassen 0-1 7.27 2.88 8.2 9
4-4 W-L 0-1
3.56 Ldr ERA 7.27
1.19 Ldr WHIP 2.88
65.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 8.2
43 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 9
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
71%
📊
ANGELS
29%
▲ Edge: +14.40% (TEX)
RANGERS 56% Book Odds: -129
ANGELS 46% Book Odds: +119
Book Implied: 56.30% / 45.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
8.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 (Over)
Over 8.5 57%
Under 8.5 43%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
TEXAS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Texas)
RangersTEX (-1.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+1.5)
Texas Rangers (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

72.6%

Angels Cover

27.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

TEX By 1-2 runs

19.3%

TEX By 3-4 runs

19.0%

LAA By 1-2 runs

12.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
6
TEXAS
Book Implied: 5
3.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
Book Implied: 5
6
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Loss
71% Win Prob
A
Sim Angels Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.4
C
Sim Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.6
C
Sim o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026 LAA @ TEX 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026 TEX @ LAA 0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026 TEX @ LAA 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713 ▲
OPS
.679
183 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +30.9% more
Texas: 4.5 vs Los Angeles: 3.1
Home Runs (Season) +15.8% more
Texas: 183.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Strikeouts (L5) +15.5% more
Texas: 9.8 vs Los Angeles: 8.3
Home Runs (L5) +15.0% more
Texas: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 6.0 2
LAA Score 3.6 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.9 / 6.9 8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 9.8 8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 8.9 / 9.8 9.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.1 / 4.5 1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -136 / +113 → -129 / +119 ↓
75%TICKETS25%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
83%TICKETS17%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: 9 → 8.5 ↓
49%TICKETS51%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59% 96-66
53% 86-76
55% 89-73
57% 91-70
ATS
60% 97-65
57% 92-70
51% 82-80
61% 98-63
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 78-70-14
52% 82-75-5
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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