TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
60-60 | Road
2
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
46-74 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cody Bradford
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bradford | 0-0 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 4.1 | 5 |
| Ryan Johnson | 2-6 | 7.11 | 1.60 | 50.2 | 38 |
0-0
W-L
2-6
0.00 Ldr
ERA
7.11
1.62
WHIP
Ldr 1.60
4.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 50.2
5
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 38
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
78%
ANGELS
22%
▲ Edge: +19.60% (TEX)
RANGERS
58%
Book Odds: -140
ANGELS
44%
Book Odds: +129
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
9.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.1 (Over)
Over 9.0
52%
Under 9.0
48%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
TEXAS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
17.9%
TEX By 3-4 runs
19.7%
LAA By 1-2 runs
9.8%
LAA By 3-4 runs
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
6.2
TEXAS
Book Implied: 5.20
Los Angeles
2.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Book Implied: 5.20
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Rangers
Loss
78% Win Prob
A
Sim
Angels
Win
77% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Rangers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.3
A
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026
LAA @ TEX
1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026
TEX @ LAA
0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
TEX @ LAA
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713
▲
OPS
.679
183
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+15.8% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Hits (L5)
+13.6% more
Texas: 7.3
vs
Los Angeles: 6.3
Walks (L5)
+12.1% more
Texas: 4.7
vs
Los Angeles: 4.1
OPS (Season)
+3.4%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
6.2
2
LAA Score
2.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.3 / 7.3
5.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.9 / 9.2
3.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
9.9 / 10.1
7.0 / 9.0
Walks
4.1 / 4.7
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -143 / +119
→
-140 / +129
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 9
→
9
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59%
96-66
53%
86-76
55%
89-73
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
97-65
57%
92-70
51%
82-80
61%
98-63
TTL
53%
83-74-5
53%
78-70-14
52%
82-75-5
55%
81-66-14
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