PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
64-57 | Road
0
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
60-60 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cristopher Sanchez
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andre Pallante
#53 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez | 15-4 | 2.65 | 1.22 | 149.2 | 174 |
| Andre Pallante | 12-6 | 3.63 | 1.22 | 124.0 | 90 |
15-4
W-L
12-6
2.65 Ldr
ERA
3.63
1.22
WHIP
1.22
149.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
124.0
174 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
90
AI Model Win Probability
PHILLIES
72%
CARDINALS
28%
▲ Edge: +11.30% (PHI)
PHILLIES
60%
Book Odds: -152
CARDINALS
42%
Book Odds: +140
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.4 (Over)
Over 7.5
55%
Under 7.5
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around PHI -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-2 runs
19.1%
PHI By 3-4 runs
19.1%
STL By 1-2 runs
12.1%
STL By 3-4 runs
6.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
5.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 4.50
St. Louis
2.7
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 4.50
St. Louis
5
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phillies
Loss
72% Win Prob
A
Sim
Cardinals
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Phillies (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.5
C
Sim
Cardinals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.9
C
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
STL @ PHI
4 - 6
Aug 22, 2026
STL @ PHI
3 - 12
Aug 21, 2026
STL @ PHI
6 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
PHI @ STL
1 - 7
Aug 11, 2026
PHI @ STL
0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Philadelphia
PHI
vs
St. Louis
STL
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.44
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.286
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.313
.438
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.724
▲
OPS
.691
3
Home Runs
▲
167
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+35.7% more
Philadelphia: 5.8
vs
St. Louis: 3.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+32.0% more
Philadelphia: 10.9
vs
St. Louis: 7.4
Home Runs (L5)
+25.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.9
vs
St. Louis: 0.6
Slugging Pct (Season)
+6.0%
Philadelphia: 43.8%
vs
St. Louis: 37.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
5.2
0
STL Score
2.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.4 / 8.7
6.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 10.9
9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
14.1 / 13.7
9.0 / 5.0
Walks
3.7 / 5.8
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -168 / +139
→
-152 / +140
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
7.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
PHI
STL
PHI
ML
53%
85-74
59%
97-67
52%
84-77
49%
80-84
ATS
56%
89-70
65%
107-57
53%
85-76
51%
83-81
TTL
46%
68-81-10
57%
88-67-9
50%
76-75-10
51%
78-76-9
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
Phillies' 2027 Rotation Projection: Wheeler and Sanchez Lead Sta…
Alex Cora Rejects Phillies Again, Opts to Sit Out 2027 Season
Phillies' Managerial Plans Thrown Into Disarray as Alex Cora Opt…