TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
60-59 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
45-74 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
MacKenzie Gore
#1 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKenzie Gore | 6-9 | 4.55 | 1.24 | 128.2 | 140 |
| Reid Detmers | 3-8 | 4.12 | 1.10 | 129.0 | 150 |
6-9
W-L
3-8
4.55
ERA
Ldr 4.12
1.24
WHIP
Ldr 1.10
128.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 129.0
140
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 150
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
56%
ANGELS
44%
▲ Edge: +4.40% (TEX)
RANGERS
52%
Book Odds: -106
ANGELS
51%
Book Odds: -102
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.7 (Over)
Over 7.5
66%
Under 7.5
34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
15.3%
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.2%
LAA By 3-4 runs
11.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.9
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.50
Los Angeles
4.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Simulated Score
Texas
5
TEXAS
Book Implied: 4.50
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +0.6
B
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.2
A
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026
LAA @ TEX
1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026
TEX @ LAA
0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
TEX @ LAA
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713
▲
OPS
.679
183
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+15.8% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Home Runs (L5)
+10.0% more
Texas: 1.0
vs
Los Angeles: 0.9
OPS (Season)
+3.4%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.7%
Texas: 39.6%
vs
Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.9
4
LAA Score
4.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.4 / 6.9
6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.3 / 8.7
12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.3 / 11.2
9.0 / 8.0
Walks
4.2 / 4.1
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -125 / +104
→
-106 / -102
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
7.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59%
96-66
53%
86-76
55%
89-73
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
97-65
57%
92-70
51%
82-80
61%
98-63
TTL
53%
83-74-5
53%
78-70-14
52%
82-75-5
55%
81-66-14
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