DETROIT
TIGERSDET
55-59 | Road
2
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
56-59 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Drew Anderson
#38 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Woo
#22 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Anderson | 4-4 | 4.24 | 1.30 | 63.2 | 78 |
| Bryan Woo | 7-8 | 4.56 | 1.15 | 120.1 | 122 |
4-4
W-L
7-8
4.24 Ldr
ERA
4.56
1.30
WHIP
Ldr 1.15
63.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 120.1
78
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 122
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
65%
MARINERS
35%
▲ Edge: +22.60% (DET)
TIGERS
42%
Book Odds: +138
MARINERS
60%
Book Odds: -150
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +3.0 (Over)
Over 7.5
76%
Under 7.5
24%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
17.9%
SEA By 1-2 runs
14.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
8.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
6.1
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3
Seattle
4.4
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mariners
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.7
A
Sim
Mariners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.5
A
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.46
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.241
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.720
▲
OPS
.693
181
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+69.5% more
Detroit: 2.2
vs
Seattle: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+52.2% more
Detroit: 22.2
vs
Seattle: 10.6
Hits (L5)
+42.5% more
Detroit: 12.9
vs
Seattle: 7.4
Walks (L5)
+13.6% more
Detroit: 5.3
vs
Seattle: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
6.1
2
SEA Score
4.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.4 / 12.9
7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 2.2
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 9.1
3.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.6 / 22.2
14.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.6 / 5.3
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +131 / -145
→
+138 / -150
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
7.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
DET
SEA
DET
ML
50%
81-81
54%
86-73
52%
85-77
54%
87-73
ATS
60%
98-64
64%
101-58
59%
95-67
57%
91-69
TTL
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-9
53%
81-71-10
46%
69-81-10
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