ATLASATLAS
5-2-3 | Home
0
MONTERREYMONTERREY
4-1-4 | Away
2
AI Model Win Probability
ATLAS
33%
DRAW
28%
MONTERREY
38%
▲ Edge: +33.80% (Atlas)
39%
Book Odds: +158
DRAW
29%
Book Odds: +251
36%
Book Odds: +177
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.3
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.2 (Under)
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-0.1
MONTERREY
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
47.1% / 52.9%
Shots (On Goal)
9(1) / 13(4)
Corners
6 / 2
Cards (Y/R)
5/2 - 2/1
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Monterrey -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Monterrey)
Atlas By 1 goal
20.2%
Atlas By 2+ goals
14.3%
Monterrey By 1 goal
22.0%
Monterrey By 2+ goals
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlas
1.1
ATLAS
Monterrey
1.2
MONTERREY
Simulated Score
Atlas
1
ATLAS
Monterrey
2
MONTERREY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Monterrey
Win
27% Win Prob
D
Sim
Monterrey
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Monterrey (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Monterrey (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u2.5
Win
Proj Total: 2.3
C
Sim
o2.5
Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 1, 2026
Atlas vs Monterrey
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Conceded (L5)
+33.3% more
Atlas: 6.0
vs
Monterrey: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Monterrey Score
1.2
2
Atlas Score
1.1
0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Atlas (Home)
vs
Monterrey (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.30
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.1 - 1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Atlas
Monterrey
Atlas
Monterrey
ML
60%
6-4
44%
4-5
40%
4-6
44%
4-5
ATS
47%
4-5
53%
4-4
42%
4-5
44%
4-5
TTL
80%
8-2
44%
4-5
50%
5-5
44%
4-5