DETROIT
TIGERSDET
54-58 | Road
11
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
45-67 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Keider Montero
#54 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Gage Jump
#61 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keider Montero | 7-6 | 3.17 | 1.02 | 6.0 | 2 |
| Gage Jump | 4-6 | 4.59 | 1.40 | 3.2 | 5 |
7-6
W-L
4-6
3.17 Ldr
ERA
4.59
1.02 Ldr
WHIP
1.40
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
3.2
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
70%
ATHLETICS
30%
▲ Edge: +14.20% (DET)
TIGERS
56%
Book Odds: -126
ATHLETICS
49%
Book Odds: +105
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
10.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 10.0
42%
Under 10.0
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.4%
DET By 3-4 runs
18.9%
ATH By 1-2 runs
12.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
7.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
5.9
DETROIT
Athletics
3.6
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim
Tigers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.3
C
Sim
Athletics (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u10.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.5
B
Sim
o10.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
DET @ ATH
11 - 0
Aug 1, 2026
DET @ ATH
8 - 6
Jul 31, 2026
DET @ ATH
13 - 1
Jul 9, 2026
ATH @ DET
1 - 4
Jul 8, 2026
ATH @ DET
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.46
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.720
▲
OPS
.719
181
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+65.9% more
Detroit: 2.2
vs
Athletics: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+40.9% more
Detroit: 22.9
vs
Athletics: 13.5
Hits (L5)
+30.1% more
Detroit: 13.3
vs
Athletics: 9.3
Walks (L5)
+28.8% more
Detroit: 3.6
vs
Athletics: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
5.9
11
ATH Score
3.6
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 13.3
7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 2.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 8.8
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 22.9
8.0 / 18.0
Walks
2.6 / 3.6
2.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -141 / +117
→
-126 / +105
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- / --
→
-- / --
Total (O/U)
Open: 10.5
→
10
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
DET
ATH
DET
ML
59%
95-67
54%
86-73
54%
87-74
54%
87-73
ATS
52%
84-78
64%
101-58
50%
81-80
57%
91-69
TTL
54%
84-73-5
46%
69-81-9
42%
66-90-5
46%
69-81-10
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