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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

69-42  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sun, Aug 2 • 3:15 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

43-69  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Misiorowski
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Misiorowski

#32 | Starting Pitcher
@
Walbert Urena
STARTING PITCHER

Walbert Urena

#57 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Misiorowski 11-4 1.63 0.75 7.0 10
Walbert Urena 6-7 2.54 1.26 6.0 7
11-4 W-L 6-7
1.63 Ldr ERA 2.54
0.75 Ldr WHIP 1.26
7.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 6.0
10 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 7
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
56%
📊
ANGELS
44%
BREWERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 28%
Under 0 72%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

44.0%

Angels Cover

56.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.3%

MIL By 3-4 runs

15.3%

LAA By 1-2 runs

17.2%

LAA By 3-4 runs

11.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4.3
MILWAUKEE
3.7
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
MILWAUKEE
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.6
A
Sim
Proj Runs:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u10.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 2, 2026 MIL @ LAA 0 - 3
Aug 1, 2026 MIL @ LAA 3 - 1
Jul 31, 2026 MIL @ LAA 6 - 2
Sep 18, 2025 LAA @ MIL 2 - 5
Sep 17, 2025 LAA @ MIL 2 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.743 ▲
OPS
.679
154
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +54.0% more
Milwaukee: 4.7 vs Los Angeles: 2.2
Home Runs (L5) +51.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.9 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +35.0% more
Milwaukee: 13.3 vs Los Angeles: 8.6
Hits (L5) +22.5% more
Milwaukee: 7.8 vs Los Angeles: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 4.3 0
LAA Score 3.7 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.0 / 7.8 4.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 0.9 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.1 / 7.4 11.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 8.6 / 13.3 7.0 / 5.0
Walks 2.2 / 4.7 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
96%MONEY4%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
MIL
LAA
MIL
ML
59% 96-66
62% 101-61
55% 89-73
52% 84-78
ATS
60% 97-65
58% 94-68
51% 82-80
48% 78-84
TTL
53% 83-74-5
40% 62-92-8
52% 82-75-5
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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