PACHUCAPACHUCA
1-2-3 | Home
1
QUERETAROQUERETARO
5-2-2 | Away
2
AI Model Win Probability
PACHUCA
40%
DRAW
25%
QUERETARO
35%
--
DRAW
--
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-0.1
PACHUCA
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 goals (Pachuca)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
52.5% / 47.5%
Shots (On Goal)
13(2) / 18(5)
Corners
1 / 6
Cards (Y/R)
2/0 - 3/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Pachuca -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Pachuca)
Pachuca By 1 goal
22.0%
Pachuca By 2+ goals
17.5%
Querétaro By 1 goal
20.2%
Querétaro By 2+ goals
14.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Pachuca
1.5
PACHUCA
Queretaro
1.4
QUERETARO
Simulated Score
Pachuca
2
PACHUCA
Queretaro
1
QUERETARO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pachuca
Loss
59% Win Prob
B
Sim
Pachuca
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pachuca (+1)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Querétaro (-1)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o2.75
Win
Proj Total: 2.9
D
Sim
o2.8
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
Pachuca vs Queretaro
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Conceded (L5)
+300.0% more
Pachuca: 1.0
vs
Queretaro: 4.0
Wins (L5)
+200.0% more
Pachuca: 3.0
vs
Queretaro: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5)
+50.0% more
Pachuca: 6.0
vs
Queretaro: 4.0
Draws (L5)
+200.0% more
Queretaro: 2.0
vs
Pachuca: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Querétaro Score
1.4
2
Pachuca Score
1.5
1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Pachuca (Home)
vs
Querétaro (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.90
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.5 - 1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Pachuca
Querétaro
Pachuca
Querétaro
ML
40%
4-6
22%
2-7
22%
2-7
22%
2-7
ATS
78%
7-2-1
71%
5-2-2
22%
2-7
25%
2-6-1
TTL
50%
5-5
62%
5-3-1
22%
2-7
50%
4-4-1