NECAXANECAXA
2-2-6 | Home
2
MONTERREYMONTERREY
4-1-4 | Away
1
AI Model Win Probability
NECAXA
37%
DRAW
25%
MONTERREY
37%
--
DRAW
--
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
87%
Under 0
13%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
NECAXA
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
64.8% / 35.2%
Shots (On Goal)
19(9) / 6(2)
Corners
4 / 1
Cards (Y/R)
2/0 - 2/1
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Necaxa 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Necaxa)
Necaxa By 1 goal
21.1%
Necaxa By 2+ goals
15.9%
Monterrey By 1 goal
21.1%
Monterrey By 2+ goals
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Necaxa
1.4
NECAXA
Monterrey
1.4
MONTERREY
Simulated Score
Necaxa
2
NECAXA
Monterrey
1
MONTERREY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Necaxa
Loss
71% Win Prob
B
Sim
Necaxa
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Necaxa (+0.25)
Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
A
Sim
Necaxa (+0.25)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o2.75
Win
Proj Total: 2.8
B
Sim
o2.8
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
Necaxa vs Monterrey
2 - 1
Aug 23, 2025
Monterrey vs Necaxa
3 - 0
Feb 18, 2023
Monterrey vs Necaxa
2 - 1
Jan 14, 2022
Necaxa vs Monterrey
0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5)
+100.0% more
Monterrey: 2.0
vs
Necaxa: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5)
+20.0% more
Monterrey: 6.0
vs
Necaxa: 5.0
Draws (L5)
+100.0% more
Necaxa: 2.0
vs
Monterrey: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Monterrey Score
1.4
1
Necaxa Score
1.4
2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Necaxa (Home)
vs
Monterrey (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.80
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.4 - 1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Necaxa
Monterrey
Necaxa
Monterrey
ML
40%
4-6
44%
4-5
50%
5-5
44%
4-5
ATS
60%
6-4
53%
4-4
60%
6-4
44%
4-5
TTL
60%
6-4
44%
4-5
90%
9-1
44%
4-5