DETROIT
TIGERSDET
53-58 | Road
8
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
45-66 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Framber Valdez
#59 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 5-7 | 4.41 | 1.38 | 7.0 | 6 |
| Jack Perkins | 2-6 | 6.72 | 1.36 | 5.1 | 9 |
5-7
W-L
2-6
4.41 Ldr
ERA
6.72
1.38
WHIP
Ldr 1.36
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.1
6
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 9
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
65%
ATHLETICS
35%
TIGERS
65%
Book Odds: -187
ATHLETICS
40%
Book Odds: +153
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.2
Projected
Book Total
10.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.7 (Over)
Over 10.5
57%
Under 10.5
43%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
18.1%
ATH By 1-2 runs
14.1%
ATH By 3-4 runs
8.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
6.5
DETROIT
Athletics
4.7
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Detroit
7
DETROIT
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Tigers
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Tigers
Win
77% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.8
D
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o10.5
Win
Proj Total: 11.2
C
Sim
o10.5
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
DET @ ATH
11 - 0
Aug 1, 2026
DET @ ATH
8 - 6
Jul 31, 2026
DET @ ATH
13 - 1
Jul 9, 2026
ATH @ DET
1 - 4
Jul 8, 2026
ATH @ DET
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.46
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.720
▲
OPS
.719
181
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+65.0% more
Detroit: 1.8
vs
Athletics: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+52.9% more
Detroit: 21.9
vs
Athletics: 10.3
Hits (L5)
+48.3% more
Detroit: 12.4
vs
Athletics: 6.4
Walks (L5)
+46.3% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Athletics: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
6.5
8
ATH Score
4.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.4 / 12.4
15.0 / 15.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.8
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 7.6
9.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
10.3 / 21.9
20.0 / 25.0
Walks
2.4 / 4.5
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -163 / +135
→
-187 / +153
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- / --
→
-- / --
Total (O/U)
Open: 10.5
→
10.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
DET
ATH
DET
ML
59%
95-67
54%
86-73
54%
87-74
54%
87-73
ATS
52%
84-78
64%
101-58
50%
81-80
57%
91-69
TTL
54%
84-73-5
46%
69-81-9
42%
66-90-5
46%
69-81-10
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
Yankees' Season on the Brink: Max Fried Takes Mound for Game 3 D…