MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
69-41 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
42-69 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Robert Gasser
#54 | Starting Pitcher@
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Brett Kerry
#71 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser | 3-4 | 4.48 | 1.17 | 5.0 | 6 |
| Brett Kerry | None-None | 3.38 | -- | 4.0 | 3 |
3-4
W-L
None-None
4.48
ERA
Ldr 3.38
1.17
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
4.0
6 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
49%
ANGELS
51%
▲ Edge: +3.40% (LAA)
BREWERS
54%
Book Odds: -118
ANGELS
48%
Book Odds: +109
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
8.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.7 (Over)
Over 8.5
57%
Under 8.5
43%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
MIL By 1-2 runs
18.1%
MIL By 3-4 runs
13.0%
LAA By 1-2 runs
18.7%
LAA By 3-4 runs
14.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
4.5
MILWAUKEE
Los Angeles
4.7
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
B
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.2
C
Sim
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
MIL @ LAA
0 - 3
Aug 1, 2026
MIL @ LAA
3 - 1
Jul 31, 2026
MIL @ LAA
6 - 2
Sep 18, 2025
LAA @ MIL
2 - 5
Sep 17, 2025
LAA @ MIL
2 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.743
▲
OPS
.679
154
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+30.2% more
Los Angeles: 8.7
vs
Milwaukee: 6.7
Errors (L5)
+13.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.1
vs
Milwaukee: 1.0
Walks (L5)
+55.7% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Los Angeles: 2.3
Total Bases (L5)
+33.3% more
Milwaukee: 14.9
vs
Los Angeles: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
4.5
3
LAA Score
4.7
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.5 / 9.2
5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 6.7
13.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
9.9 / 14.9
6.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.3 / 5.1
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -118 / +109
→
-118 / +109
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- / --
→
-- / --
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
8.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
MIL
LAA
MIL
ML
59%
96-66
62%
101-61
55%
89-73
52%
84-78
ATS
60%
97-65
58%
94-68
51%
82-80
48%
78-84
TTL
53%
83-74-5
40%
62-92-8
52%
82-75-5
50%
77-77-8
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