MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
68-41 | Road
6
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
42-68 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Shane Drohan
#55 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Drohan | 5-4 | 3.48 | 1.20 | 6.0 | 7 |
| Ryan Johnson | 2-5 | 7.63 | 1.54 | 4.1 | 3 |
5-4
W-L
2-5
3.48 Ldr
ERA
7.63
1.20 Ldr
WHIP
1.54
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
4.1
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
68%
ANGELS
32%
▲ Edge: +6.40% (MIL)
BREWERS
62%
Book Odds: -160
ANGELS
43%
Book Odds: +133
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
9.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.1 (Over)
Over 9.0
62%
Under 9.0
38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
18.6%
LAA By 1-2 runs
13.3%
LAA By 3-4 runs
7.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
6.1
MILWAUKEE
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
68% Win Prob
B
Sim
Angels
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
C
Sim
Angels (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 10.1
B
Sim
o9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
MIL @ LAA
0 - 3
Aug 1, 2026
MIL @ LAA
3 - 1
Jul 31, 2026
MIL @ LAA
6 - 2
Sep 18, 2025
LAA @ MIL
2 - 5
Sep 17, 2025
LAA @ MIL
2 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.743
▲
OPS
.679
154
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+21.4% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Walks (L5)
+20.4% more
Milwaukee: 3.6
vs
Los Angeles: 2.9
Errors (L5)
+20.3% more
Milwaukee: 1.5
vs
Los Angeles: 1.2
Total Bases (L5)
+17.6% more
Milwaukee: 13.8
vs
Los Angeles: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
6.1
6
LAA Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 1.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 9.3
4.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.3
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 6.0
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
11.4 / 13.8
7.0 / 17.0
Walks
2.9 / 3.6
1.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -168 / +151
→
-160 / +133
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- / --
→
-- / --
Total (O/U)
Open: 9
→
9
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
MIL
LAA
MIL
ML
59%
96-66
62%
101-61
55%
89-73
52%
84-78
ATS
60%
97-65
58%
94-68
51%
82-80
48%
78-84
TTL
53%
83-74-5
40%
62-92-8
52%
82-75-5
50%
77-77-8
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