NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
61-48 | Road
1
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
57-51 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Weathers
#40 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | 4-7 | 3.99 | 1.27 | 7.0 | 4 |
| Sean Burke | 7-5 | 3.04 | 1.12 | 6.0 | 10 |
4-7
W-L
7-5
3.99
ERA
Ldr 3.04
1.27
WHIP
Ldr 1.12
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
6.0
4
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 10
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
63%
WHITE SOX
37%
YANKEES
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
17.7%
CHW By 1-2 runs
14.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4.8
NEW YORK
Chicago
3.2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
A
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 30, 2026
NYY @ CHW
1 - 2
Jul 29, 2026
NYY @ CHW
5 - 6
Jul 28, 2026
NYY @ CHW
3 - 2
Jul 27, 2026
NYY @ CHW
9 - 5
Jun 18, 2026
CHW @ NYY
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Chicago
CHW
1
Games Played
1
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
6.00
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.324
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.415
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
1.041
▲
OPS
.826
2
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+33.3% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Chicago: 6.0
OPS (Season)
+21.5%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Chicago: 82.6%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+18.2%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Chicago: 41.2%
Batting Avg (Season)
+5.1%
New York: 37.5%
vs
Chicago: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
4.8
1
CHW Score
3.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.7 / 7.9
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 10.6
11.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 12.4
7.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.3 / 3.1
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
NYY
CHW
NYY
ML
49%
81-86
47%
76-85
56%
94-73
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
53%
86-76
TTL
58%
96-69-2
53%
81-73-7
51%
84-81-2
53%
82-72-7
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