NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
61-47 | Road
5
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
56-51 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cam Schlittler
#31 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | 10-6 | 2.04 | 0.93 | 6.1 | 8 |
| Davis Martin | 9-5 | 3.62 | 1.27 | 6.0 | 6 |
10-6
W-L
9-5
2.04 Ldr
ERA
3.62
0.93 Ldr
WHIP
1.27
6.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
6.0
8 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
6
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
33%
WHITE SOX
67%
YANKEES
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
NYY By 1-2 runs
13.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4.2
NEW YORK
Chicago
6.2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Win
67% Win Prob
B
Sim
Yankees
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.4
A
Sim
u7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 30, 2026
NYY @ CHW
1 - 2
Jul 29, 2026
NYY @ CHW
5 - 6
Jul 28, 2026
NYY @ CHW
3 - 2
Jul 27, 2026
NYY @ CHW
9 - 5
Jun 18, 2026
CHW @ NYY
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Chicago
CHW
1
Games Played
1
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
6.00
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.324
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.415
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
1.041
▲
OPS
.826
2
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+46.0% more
Chicago: 0.9
vs
New York: 0.5
Home Runs (L5)
+35.0% more
Chicago: 1.1
vs
New York: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+20.4% more
Chicago: 13.9
vs
New York: 11.6
Hits (L5)
+15.2% more
Chicago: 8.5
vs
New York: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
4.2
5
CHW Score
6.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.5
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.5 / 7.4
6.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.8
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 10.4
12.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 11.6
14.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.0 / 3.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
NYY
CHW
NYY
ML
49%
81-86
47%
76-85
56%
94-73
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
53%
86-76
TTL
58%
96-69-2
53%
81-73-7
51%
84-81-2
53%
82-72-7
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