NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
60-46 | Road
9
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
55-50 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Max Fried
#54 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Noah Schultz
#22 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fried | 4-3 | 3.23 | 0.96 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Noah Schultz | 3-7 | 6.15 | 1.46 | 3.1 | 5 |
4-3
W-L
3-7
3.23 Ldr
ERA
6.15
0.96 Ldr
WHIP
1.46
3.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 3.1
4
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
32%
WHITE SOX
68%
YANKEES
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
NYY By 1-2 runs
13.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4.2
NEW YORK
Chicago
6.2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
New York
5
NEW YORK
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Loss
68% Win Prob
A
Sim
Yankees
Win
70% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Sim
Yankees (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.4
A
Sim
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 30, 2026
NYY @ CHW
1 - 2
Jul 29, 2026
NYY @ CHW
5 - 6
Jul 28, 2026
NYY @ CHW
3 - 2
Jul 27, 2026
NYY @ CHW
9 - 5
Jun 18, 2026
CHW @ NYY
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Chicago
CHW
1
Games Played
1
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
6.00
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.324
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.415
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
1.041
▲
OPS
.826
2
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+45.0% more
Chicago: 1.7
vs
New York: 1.2
Walks (L5)
+32.7% more
Chicago: 3.3
vs
New York: 2.5
Total Bases (L5)
+20.3% more
Chicago: 15.0
vs
New York: 12.5
Hits (L5)
+18.0% more
Chicago: 8.4
vs
New York: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
4.2
9
CHW Score
6.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
3.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.4 / 7.1
11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.9 / 10.8
9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
15.0 / 12.5
16.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.5
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
NYY
CHW
NYY
ML
48%
81-87
47%
76-85
56%
94-74
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
99-69
59%
95-66
55%
93-75
53%
86-76
TTL
58%
97-69-2
53%
81-73-7
51%
85-81-2
53%
82-72-7
Contextual Game News
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