COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
42-65 | Road
2
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
66-39 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Freeland
#21 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Misiorowski
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 2-9 | 7.34 | 1.56 | 5.1 | 2 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 10-4 | 1.58 | 0.77 | 5.0 | 12 |
2-9
W-L
10-4
7.34
ERA
Ldr 1.58
1.56
WHIP
Ldr 0.77
5.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 12
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
46%
BREWERS
54%
ROCKIES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
COL By 1-2 runs
17.2%
COL By 3-4 runs
11.8%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.2
COLORADO
Milwaukee
4.8
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
77% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
B
Sim
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
COL @ MIL
2 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 8
Jul 24, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 2
Jun 7, 2026
MIL @ COL
12 - 4
Jun 6, 2026
MIL @ COL
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.739
OPS
▲
.743
180
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+61.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.1
vs
Colorado: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+28.6% more
Milwaukee: 14.9
vs
Colorado: 11.6
Hits (L5)
+19.8% more
Milwaukee: 9.5
vs
Colorado: 7.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+11.7% more
Milwaukee: 8.3
vs
Colorado: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.2
2
MIL Score
4.8
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.5 / 7.9
14.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.5
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 7.5
3.0 / 15.0
Total Bases
14.9 / 11.6
28.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.0 / 3.3
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
COL
MIL
COL
ML
62%
101-61
60%
97-64
52%
84-78
55%
88-73
ATS
58%
94-68
60%
97-64
48%
78-84
52%
83-78
TTL
40%
62-92-8
60%
93-62-6
50%
77-77-8
50%
77-78-6
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